I wonder how long people will cope and deny the truth of the simple fact that A(G)I is a spectrum lower bounds of which we are already experiencing at current gen systems, and even the currently available relatively humble DL model scale is enough to compete with human beings in quite broad skill domains where we simply didn't live through enough evolutionary time to truly excel at it ... such as a relatively new skill of painting pictures given a meaningful textual description.
These pictures are made by yours truly from a few witty prompts with a software anyone can run on a 10 year old CPU-only PC with 12 gigs of RAM, in a few minutes per 512x512 sample. The software is mostly a wrapper around a deep neural network with ~1 billion parameters total, a convolutional attention-enabled UNet trained to reverse the process of addition of random gaussian noise to an image, given a textual description of the image content as a small vector embedding, at the scale of 100 terabytes of general internet data. As the obvious by this time experiments of myself and thousands of beta testers show, the NN learned to imitate every conceivable popular imaging style and hundreds of themes and variations thereof, often rivaling human artists - not the best of us, for now, but the average ones - surely (and they rage about it on twitter already). Nextgen models will follow, as will the new tools to integrate these abilities deeply into current and new creative workflows - what you see right now is just a v1 tech demo of something that will become widely known under various names, including "dreamstudio".
Multiple implications follow: once again https://www.gwern.net/Scaling-hypothesis
holds; the fall of creative scarcity is imminent; creativity will not be the same, but a lot of people will get newfound freedom to express themselves (will they, we have enough imagination to apply this power to some lasting positive effect?) Some people will lose their profits and professional pride. You can continue this long list on your own.
It is a taste of things to come this decade.
I'm stating here that instead of following the obvious impulse of moving the goalposts ever further into esoteric vitalist A(G)I denial (It doesn't do art! It doesn't do logic! It doesn't learn! this is photoshop! this is creepy! this is fake! It will never do XYZ!), instead of enveloping ourselves in comfy elaborate copes we should go forth and take the technology for what it is and co-evolve with it, molding it to our taste.
What now has been done for creativity, tomorrow will be done for limited and then for more general and even embodied agency; our goal of robot companions will be naturally interwoven with increasing naturalness and sophistication of DL technology ... or we could again glance over the obvious tech breakthrough, sneer, deny, seethe, cope, dilate and bite the dust while the usual silicon valley suspects tame and productize the hell out of this tech only to sell it to us through their gatekeeping machinery.
See you on the other side of whatever is coming.
If you are interested in experimenting with this technology, the code, guide and leaked NN weights are available via these links:
We could really use a separate thread for design experiments with this class of tools.